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 Fixed vs Variable Mortgage: What’s Right for You in 2025?

By Dave Oliver Mortgage Broker Saskatoon

If you’re shopping for a mortgage in 2025, one of the biggest decisions you’ll face is whether to go with a fixed-rate or variable-rate mortgage. Both have advantages—and risks—but understanding how they work and which best fits your financial goals can save you thousands over the life of your loan.

Let’s explore how the mortgage landscape in 2025 affects this choice and what you should consider before making your move.

1. Understanding the Difference Between Fixed and Variable Mortgages

Feature

Fixed-Rate Mortgage

Variable-Rate Mortgage

Interest Rate

Stays the same for the term

Changes with prime rate

Monthly Payments

Predictable

May increase or decrease

Best For

Long-term planners

Flexible, risk-tolerant borrowers

Market Sensitivity

Unaffected by rate changes

Directly linked to rate trends

Fixed-rate mortgages keep your rate and payments constant throughout the term, making budgeting easier and protecting you from rising rates.

Variable-rate mortgages fluctuate with the Bank of Canada’s prime rate. If prime decreases, your payments or interest portion can go down, but if it increases, your payments may rise too.

2. Where Mortgage Rates Stand in 2025

As of late 2025, Canada’s lending market shows a rare window of stability. After several years of sharp rate adjustments, the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate steady, keeping both fixed and variable options relatively balanced.

Mortgage Type

Average Rate

Trend

5-Year Fixed

4.89%

Slightly down

3-Year Fixed

5.04%

Stable

5-Year Variable

5.55%

Slightly down

Fixed rates are tied to government bond yields, which have eased modestly, while variable rates remain higher but more flexible if the economy slows in 2026.

3. Pros and Cons of Each Option

Fixed-Rate Mortgages – Pros: Predictable payments, protection from hikes, long-term planning.

Cons: Higher starting rate, costly penalties for breaking early, less flexibility if rates drop.

Variable-Rate Mortgages – Pros: Potential savings if rates drop, easier to switch or refinance, lower exit penalties.

Cons: Payment risk, harder budgeting, stress for risk-averse borrowers.

4. What’s Right for Saskatchewan Homebuyers in 2025?

In Saskatchewan, where home prices are moderate and stability is key, fixed rates remain the preferred choice. However, variable-rate mortgages are regaining appeal as inflation cools and economists predict potential cuts in 2026.

5. How to Decide: Key Questions to Ask

  • What’s my financial comfort zone?

  • How long will I stay in the property?

  • Is my income stable?

  • Am I focused on security or savings?

  • What are experts predicting?

6. Scenario Comparison

Case 1: Emily chooses a 5-year fixed rate at 4.89% on a $400,000 mortgage. Her monthly payment remains steady at $2,323, saving her from potential increases.

Case 2: Alex picks a 5-year variable rate at 5.55%. If the prime rate drops 0.50%, his payment could fall to $2,340, saving about $7,300 over five years.

7. The Hybrid Approach: A Middle Ground

Some lenders now offer hybrid mortgages—part fixed, part variable. This approach reduces exposure to rising rates while retaining flexibility if rates drop.

8. Why Work With a Mortgage Broker for This Decision

Choosing between fixed and variable isn’t just about today’s numbers—it’s about your future plans. A mortgage broker compares options across banks, credit unions, and alternative lenders to identify the best structure.

At Dave Oliver Mortgage Broker Saskatoon, we analyze over 20 lenders weekly, use modeling tools to project costs, and help clients reassess annually.

9. Market Outlook for Early 2026

Economists anticipate stable rates through mid-2026, with gradual easing if inflation remains under 2.5%. Lower bond yields may lead to minor fixed-rate declines, creating balanced opportunities for both borrower types.

Final Thoughts

There’s no one-size-fits-all mortgage. The right choice depends on your budget, comfort level, and goals. Understanding the trade-offs between fixed and variable mortgages is key to making an informed decision.

Ready to compare today’s top mortgage options? Let’s talk!

 Call: (306) 227-7367

 Request a Quote: https://saskatoonmortgagebroker.net

 Email: dave.oliver@mortgagegroup.com